Friday, August 31, 2012

The American scholar calls inventing " L The death calculator " R Build websites and predict the death

The American scholar calls inventing " L The death calculator " R Build websites and predict the death
The mankind has been wishing eagerly to foresee all the time that grows very much, but there are no such strong gods in this world. But American researchers declare recently, they have already invented one kind " L The death calculator " ,So long as input information such as your gender, age, region, it can predict your death time and death reason.
Establish websites and claim to predict the death
According to August 26 of U.S.A. LiveScience website, researcher and scholar from CarnegieMellon University of U.S.A. have established one to let " The risk assessment of the death " (DeathRiskRankings.com) Website,last that death " L The death calculator " ,So long as answer information such as some simple questions such as date of birth, gender, region where one stays, ethnic group, the calculator will predict the probability, possible reason and time of your death.


Meanwhile, you can compare with the people of the other countries horizontally one's own death probability through the death calculator too. For example, assume one 54 -year-old state, Pennsylvania of U.S.A., suffer from woman of breast cancer can compare oneself and Britain same death of people of situation whose is probability high. In addition, the reason that you can also relatively die through the calculator, and estimate the particular crowd's death quantity.
It is said " L There is certain scientific basis " R
Different from before this those recreational death predicts the game, this kind " L The death calculator " R It is said that there is certain scientific basis, the answer that it offers is based on researchers to U.S.A., European's comparison in such aspects as gender, age, death reason and region and data that the analysis obtains.
First of all, the region or country is different, ill and death probability is different. " L The risk assessment of the death " Societies of the founders of websites, CarnegieMellon University and making policy to study professor Paul Fischbeck says : " Take Britain and U.S.A. as examples, British woman's breast cancer mortality is relatively high, it is 33%; And the mortality of lung cancer or laryngeal carcinoma is opposite, the women in Pennsylvania of U.S.A. are relatively high, it is 29%. "
Secondly, researchers find, except infancy, the adult dies with the years probability increases year by year too. Take an American woman as examples, her 20 -year-old death probability has 1/2000 or 0.05% only, 40 -year-old death probability has increased by 3 times, having increased by 16 times at 60 years old, has already increased 100 times at 80 years old, about 1/20 or 5%.
Moreover, the gender is the important factor of influencing death probability too. Researchers say, compare the man of the age bracket with woman, the man's death probability is well-above women, because the contingency happens, kill and commit suicide more easily to the man. At the age of 20, the man's death risk is 2.5 to 3 times higher than that of the woman, 80% among them come from the contingency, kill and commit suicide. At the age of 50, these reasons to cause the death have already been less than 10%, and heart disease becomes the No.1 factor of man's death risk, 30% of reason that it accounts for all to die The above. The death risk man of heart disease is higher than women forever, the especially most obvious at the age of 50, the man is 2.5 times taller than the woman. And the woman is here Suffer from the risk of cancer and is higher than men in 30 to about 40 years old.
In addition, it have relations with death probability that ethnic groups are different. Taking heart disease and cancer as examples, the Afro-American is higher than the mortality of the white man.
It is one of the factors which researchers consider too to be fat . Can calculate your dangerous index of fat according to your height and weight, the higher the index is, the greater the death risk is.
Can offer information for U.S.A.'s medical reform
Researchers say, establish " L The risk assessment of the death " Websites hope to improve American people's cognition of the death risk. Professor Gerald says, most Americans lack better understanding to one's own death risk, hope this website can let more Americans pay close attention to the relevant risk.
In addition, Fischbeck and Gerald hope this website can be offered more information by the medical plan for reform of the dispute in U.S.A., such as the comparison of American and European mortality, how the death reason varied with age, difference between different and Afro-American and white man death risk between man and woman death risk.
With the enhancement of health consciousness, people pay more and more attention to with the life closely bound up health problem, such as the food security, medical treatment is ensured, medical information,etc., healthy life should be from understanding information begins! More excellent health information please enter : News channel
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