Monday, September 3, 2012

U.S.A. pushes the risk websites of the death and analyzes to predict " L The quantized death " R

U.S.A. pushes the risk websites of the death and analyzes to predict " L The quantized death " R
As to the death, a word that people often hear is " L Life and death lie in the lap of the gods " ,Still have countless poor to want to clear up the law among them all one's life scholar from ancient times to the present. Which age bracket death risk is the highest, it is disease or accident, whether there are laws on earth, can the mankind control? And the appearance of modern statistics as the historical data are accumulated, these questions are getting clear day by day. Recently, one in U.S.A. is called " L The death risk ranks " R Website while answering these questions,too it is extensive concern that initiate by people.
Rank of the data and assessment appear surprisingly " L The death " R Websites
This special website paying close attention to death risk is established by the researchers of CarnegieMellon University of U.S.A., allow people to inquire the difference of the death on factors such as different gender, age, area,etc. according to the open data from U.S.A. and Europe. This website not only can predict out the death risk of different age brackets, allow to compare horizontally among different colonies.
The promoters of websites, public policy science professor Paul of CarnegieMellon University of U.S.A. Fischbeck has made an analogy : " If you want, know who probably in die of breast cancer in recent years among one 54 -year-old woman and the intersection of Britain and woman counterpart of her, state of Pennsylvania, this website will offer the accurate statistical data to you. You will find through this website, the risk that British women suffer from breast cancer is higher by 33% than that of American women. But this data nearly just exchange on lung cancer and laryngeal carcinoma, women of London in Britain will be higher by 29% than to live that American women will die of the risks of lung cancer and laryngeal carcinoma " .
The regions of age of gender and trends are apparent
In terms of age, during the years after the baby, people's death risk will be increased progressively by way of index. A 20 -year-old American woman is 0.05% in the death probability during the following one years; This risk is increased to 3 times at the age of 40; Increase to 16 times at the age of 60; Will increase to 100 times at the age of 80, namely 5%. " Although the risk is high, needn't be too anxious either. " Laurence university economics professor David and Gerad says, " R At the age of 80, 95% of the American women all had an opportunity to spend one's own 81st birthday. "
In terms of gender, the male death risk is nearly all higher than women on each age bracket. In 20 years old, the male death risk is higher by 2.5 time to 3 time than women, accident that men meet accident more easily, for example in is involved in and murdered or commits suiciding . Men are higher than women too in dying of the risk of heart disease, this rate will reach 2.5 times of peak value at the age of 50. However, in dying of the risk of cancer, women will be higher than 30 years old of the same age or 40 -year-old man.
But the speech on heart disease and cancer, African U.S.A. is more manily high than the European descendants in U.S.A.. Coming to look overallly, among 40 years old at 30 years old, the former is nearly two times higherrer than the latter. But in commit suicide in the death risk that lead to the fact, the latter is higher by 2 time to 3 time than the former.
As to about 20 years old of men, 80% of the death risks come from the contingency. Reach 50 at the age of, proportion that factor account for this less than 10% still. In the factor of constituting a threat to male life of U.S.A. and Europe at this moment, heart disease ranks the first. The statistics show, over 30% of the causes of the death all correlate with this in this age bracket.
At region, live people in western Europe compare with live a in U.S.A. people life, die of breast cancer and prostate cancer more easily. Live in U.S.A. person it dies of rates of lung cancer to be large than the former.
With the overweight and relevant death risk, U.S.A. is well-above Europe. But the speech of this age bracket as to 60 years old, the risk that Americans die of diabetes is 3 times higher than that of Europe.
It is purposes to educate and help people
Fischbeck and Gerad hope this website can contribute to people's understanding that at present U.S.A. discuss the to heart's content medical system reform is new.
Gerad says, " Most Americans do not have deep understanding to the death risk, let alone the rank situation of the concrete risk " .
Fischbeck says : " This is a kind of very convincing evidence, this website can offer sufficient data and fact in health to you. " " We believe, anyone can evaluate one's own death risk through this tool, and compare with state of Europe. This can help people to be more positive, more purposive with launching argueing on the relevant problem constructively. "
According to American media, an opinion poll of U.S.A. Indiana university reveals, after 67% of the interviewees worry implementing the new medical reform at present, medical insurance service (such as the operation) Waiting time to some extent increase; The interviewees of 60% think the new medical reform scheme is too for U.S.A. at this moment " Expensive" ; The interviewees of 51% are afraid the new medical reform will increase the personal medical expenses.
It is reported, this investigation was carried on by the hygiene policy of this school and professional research center and biological ethics centre, researchers, to U.S.A. 48 600 of a adjacent state and Washington D.C. Location Americans have carried on questionnaire investigation.
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